Global Political Shifts: The Top Ten Elections to Monitor in 2024

Here is an overview of significant upcoming elections around the world in 2024 and their potential global impact, knowing that more than three dozen countries, representing about half the world’s population, will participate in these voting processes. In this article, I underline the 10 key elections, their political context, major candidates, and potential outcomes.

1. Bangladesh General Election (January 7): This election is noted for the dominance of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina and the Awami League, which have increasingly eroded democratic freedoms. The opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) is largely suppressed, with many members jailed or charged with crimes. The BNP plans to boycott the election, and the United States has been pressuring for a free and fair election, but with limited success.
   
2. Taiwanese Presidential Election (January 13): With President Tsai Ing-Wen unable to run for a third term, the election features former mayors as the main contenders. The outcome is significant for Taiwan’s relationship with China and its position on the “One China” policy.
   
3. Pakistani General Elections (February 8): Postponed from their original schedule, these elections come amid political turmoil following the ousting of Prime Minister Imran Khan. The election’s outcome will be critical for a country facing economic challenges and political instability.
   
4. Indonesian General Election (February 14): This election is logistically challenging due to Indonesia’s vast geography. The leading candidates to replace President Joko Widodo include Prabowo Subianto, Ganjar Pranowo, and Anies Baswedan, each with distinct political backgrounds and views.
   
5. Indian National Elections (April-May): Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) are likely to win, continuing their dominance in Indian politics. The election is crucial for the future of India’s democracy and economic growth.
   
6. Mexican Presidential Election (June 2): Mexico is likely to see its first woman president, with Claudia Sheinbaum of the Morena Party as a leading candidate. The election will shape Mexico’s policies on crime, the economy, and relations with the United States.
   
7. European Parliament Elections (June 6-9): These elections will determine the composition of the European Parliament, influencing EU policies and the selection of the European Commission President. Voter turnout and the rise of populist politicians are key concerns.
   
8. Belgian Elections (June 9): Belgium’s complex political landscape, marked by linguistic and regional divisions, makes its politics particularly interesting. The rise of the far-right Vlaams Belang Party could influence the country’s future direction.
   
9. U.S. General Election (November 5): Potentially featuring a rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, this election is significant for the future of American democracy and its role in global politics. The outcomes in the Senate and House of Representatives are also crucial.
   
10. South African General Election (Date TBD): Facing challenges such as corruption and economic issues, this election will test the strength of South Africa’s democracy. The African National Congress (ANC) faces declining support, and new electoral rules could impact the political landscape.

I wanted with this very concise article to underscores the importance of these elections in shaping global political dynamics, with implications for democratic values, international relations, and regional stability.